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NBAPlayer propThrees
Jaylen Wells under 1.5 threes
Won27 of 69last season · 39%
Best price+101Kalshi
Price needs49.8%wins to break even
Every game28 of 70this season and last
Trend score-29.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 50% to break even | 13%–56% | 20 points shortwon 30%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 50% to break even | 8%–41% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 50% to break even | 27%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 27 of 6939%needs 50% to break even | 30%–49% | 11 points shortwon 39%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 28 of 7040%needs 50% to break even | 31%–50% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jaylen Wells under 1.5 threes1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Threes in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  UTAH | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 23 |  ATL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  CHA | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  BOS | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  DEN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 |  CHI | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 |  DAL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  PHI | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 9 |  BKN | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 |  LAC | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 |  POR | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  MIN | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  IND | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 27 | DAL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 25 |  GS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 23 |  SAC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  MIA | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | UTAH | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | DEN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | GS | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 | POR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 | SAC | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 | MIN | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | MIN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  NO | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | CHA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 |  HOU | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 | NO | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 | ATL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  ORL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | ORL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | BKN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 |  OKC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  PHX | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 |  SA | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 |  LAL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | LAL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | PHI | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  WSH | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 |  MIL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | UTAH | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 | OKC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | WSH | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 17 | MIN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | LAC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | UTAH | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | POR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | LAC | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | SA | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | SAC | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | LAC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | NO | 5 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | DEN | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | DAL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | SAC | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | SA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  CLE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | BOS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 11 |  NY | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | OKC | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | DAL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | HOU | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 |  DET | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  TOR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | LAL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | PHX | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | GS | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | IND | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | MIA | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | NO | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 threesJaylen Wells · Today 10:10 PM ET |  -142at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 59% to break even | -12.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.