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NBAPlayer propRebounds
Stephen Curry over 3.5 rebounds
Won20 of 45last season · 44%
Best price+101Kalshi
Price needs49.8%wins to break even
Every game20 of 46this season and last
Trend score-28.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 50% to break even | 13%–56% | 20 points shortwon 30%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 50% to break even | 13%–48% | 23 points shortwon 27%, needs 50% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 50% to break even | 0%–73% | 50 points shortwon 0%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 20 of 4544%needs 50% to break even | 33%–57% | 5 points shortwon 44%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 20 of 4643%needs 50% to break even | 32%–56% | 6 points shortwon 43%, needs 50% |
Games like tonight
Tonight GS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MEM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Stephen Curry over 3.5 rebounds1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rebounds in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  LAL | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 |  PHX | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 15 |  LAC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | LAC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  SAC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | SAC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  HOU | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  DET | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 |  UTAH | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  MIN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 |  DAL | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 |  TOR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 |  MIA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  CHA | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 |  NY | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  POR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 |  ATL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 | SAC | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  MIL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 | LAC | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | UTAH | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 | CHA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  BKN | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | TOR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | DAL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 |  ORL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | PHX | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | PHX | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | POR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | MIN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | HOU | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | UTAH | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | POR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | ORL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 |  NO | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 |  SA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | SA | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 11 |  OKC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | PHX | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  IND | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | MIL | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | LAC | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 |  MEM | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | POR | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 23 |  DEN | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 | LAL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 reboundsStephen Curry · Today 10:10 PM ET |  -137at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 58% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Stephen Curry in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 threesStephen Curry · Today 10:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 pointsStephen Curry · Today 10:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -14.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 threesStephen Curry · Today 10:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 18 of 45· last season40%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 pointsStephen Curry · Today 10:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 27 of 45· last season60%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.