This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1258%needs 44% to break even | 36%–78% | 14 points betterwon 58%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 7 of 1164%needs 44% to break even | 39%–82% | 20 points betterwon 64%, needs 44% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against over 12.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 reboundsZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET |
| Every game | 7 of 1258%needs 44% to break even | 36%–78% | 14 points betterwon 58%, needs 44% |
| 16 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Nov 30 | 17 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 21 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | 15 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | 1 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 18 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | 4 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | 13 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost |
| +300at Fanatics |
| 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 25% to break even |
| -1.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 blocksZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped67%needs 40% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 reboundsZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | +210at Bovada | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 32% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | +266at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 27% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pts + astZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | +138at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reboundsZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 11· last season64%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reboundsZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 67% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | +127at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 44% to break even | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | +155at Fanatics | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 39% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 pointsZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 8 of 11· last season73%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 reboundsZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | +135at Bovada | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 pointsZach Edey · Today 10:10 PM ET | -108at DraftKings | 7 of 11· last season64%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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