This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 37% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 37% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1233%needs 37% to break even | 16%–57% | 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 37% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 37% to break even | 0%–73% | 37 points shortwon 0%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 4 of 1136%needs 37% to break even | 18%–61% | evenwon 36%, needs 37% |
| Every game |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 16%–57% |
| 3 points shortwon 33%, needs 37% |
| Dec 2 |
| 19 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Nov 30 | 32 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 5 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | 21 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | 2 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | 16 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
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