This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 55% to break even | 35%–81% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 55% to break even | 46%–83% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 55% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 55% to break even | 0%–73% | 55 points shortwon 0%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 11 of 1573%needs 55% to break even | 52%–87% | 19 points betterwon 73%, needs 55% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 reboundsTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 34.5 pts + reb + astTy Jerome |
| Every game | 11 of 1669%needs 55% to break even | 48%–84% | 14 points betterwon 69%, needs 55% |
| 1 |
| +2.5 |
| Won |
| Mar 18 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| -112at Kalshi |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 53% to break even |
| -27.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -175at Kalshi |
| 12 of 15· last season80%needs 64% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 59% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + reb + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 43% to break even | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 threesTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last season47%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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