This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 50% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 50% to break even | 0%–73% | 50 points shortwon 0%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 9 of 1656%needs 50% to break even | 36%–74% | 6 points betterwon 56%, needs 50% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb in each game against under 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 52 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 23 | 18 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 17 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 30 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 22 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 28 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 25 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 18 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 25 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 23 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 20 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 22 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 14 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 29 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 25 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 pts + rebTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -160at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 62% to break even | -28.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 pts + rebTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -128at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 56% to break even | -24.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 25.5 pts + rebTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -105at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 51% to break even | -30.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 29.5 pts + rebTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +200at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 33% to break even | -20.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.