This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 69% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 69% to break even | 14%–73% | 29 points shortwon 40%, needs 69% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 69% to break even | 19%–65% | 29 points shortwon 40%, needs 69% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 69% to break even | 33%–72% | 15 points shortwon 53%, needs 69% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 69% to break even | 0%–73% | 69 points shortwon 0%, needs 69% |
| Last season | 43 of 8252%needs 69% to break even | 43%–61% | 16 points shortwon 52%, needs 69% |
| Every game | 43 of 8352%needs 69% to break even | 43%–61% | 17 points shortwon 52%, needs 69% |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
DAL points in each game against over 111.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 111.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 227.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | DAL points | Beat 111.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 110 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 149 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 120 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 107 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 103 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 134 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 127 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 99 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 94 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 100 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 135 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 131 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 131 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 120 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 111 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 130 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 105 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 120 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 112 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 92 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 100 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 90 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 87 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 105 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 121 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 123 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 134 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 111 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 104 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 111 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 125 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 123 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 100 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 107 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 121 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 105 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 110 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 123 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 138 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 144 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 109 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 113 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 107 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 100 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 110 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 108 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 122 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 107 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 116 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 131 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 113 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 116 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 133 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 119 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 122 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 111 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 118 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 131 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 119 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 102 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 96 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 118 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 111 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 96 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 138 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 127 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 111 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 104 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 99 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 102 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 110 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 107 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 94 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 139 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 107 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 92 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| 39 of 82· last season48%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 113.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 42 of 82· last season51%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Under 115.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 49 of 82· last season60%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 117.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 51 of 82· last season62%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price |
| Under 119.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 55 of 82· last season67%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 33 of 82· last season40%needs 32% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.5Not beating its price |
| DAL +7.5 1st quarter spreadDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 58 of 82· last season71%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Over 245.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 33% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 244.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +180at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 36% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 231.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 38% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 242.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 40% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 49 of 82· last season60%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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