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NBAPlayer propThrees
Max Christie over 1.5 threes
Won55 of 77last season · 71%
Best price-175Kalshi
Price needs63.6%wins to break even
Every game55 of 78this season and last
Trend score-23.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 64% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 64% to break even | 27%–73% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 64% to break even | 39%–78% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 64% to break even | 0%–73% | 64 points shortwon 0%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 55 of 7771%needs 64% to break even | 62%–79% | 8 points betterwon 71%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 55 of 7871%needs 64% to break even | 61%–78% | 7 points betterwon 71%, needs 64% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Max Christie over 1.5 threes1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Threes in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  HOU | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 |  CHI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  SA | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  PHX | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  LAC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  LAL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  ORL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  MIL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  POR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  DEN | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  GS | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | LAC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  ATL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 |  NO | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  CLE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 | CLE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 |  MEM | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | ATL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  TOR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 |  BOS | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | ORL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  CHA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  OKC | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 27 | MEM | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  SAC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 |  BKN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  IND | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 12 | LAL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 | PHX | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | SA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 | SA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | BOS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | HOU | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 | CHA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | MIN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | LAL | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | GS | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 |  NY | 8 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 |  UTAH | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 | BKN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | CHI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 8 | UTAH | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | SAC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | HOU | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  PHI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | POR | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | SAC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | GS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | PHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 |  DET | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | UTAH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | BKN | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | HOU | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | OKC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 |  MIA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | DEN | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | LAC | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | LAL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | MIA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | MEM | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | NO | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 19 | NY | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | MIN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | POR | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | LAC | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | PHX | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | MIL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  WSH | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | MEM | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | NO | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | HOU | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | DET | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | IND | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | OKC | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | TOR | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | WSH | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | SA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 threesMax Christie · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |  +124at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 45% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.