This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 51% to break even | 0%–73% | 51 points shortwon 0%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 36 of 5664%needs 51% to break even | 53%–74% | 13 points betterwon 64%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 36 of 5763%needs 51% to break even | 52%–73% | 12 points betterwon 63%, needs 51% |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 12.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 12.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 5 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 5 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 19 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 21 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 23 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 18 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 20 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 5 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 18 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 23 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 18 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 21 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 2 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 11 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 25 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 22 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 27 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 24 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 21 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 16 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 29 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 15 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 18 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 pointsP.J. Washington · Today 7:10 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even | -16.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 11.5 pointsP.J. Washington · Today 7:10 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -23.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 12.5 pointsP.J. Washington · Today 7:10 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even | -25.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 13.5 pointsP.J. Washington · Today 7:10 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 26 of 56· last season46%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 pointsP.J. Washington · Today 7:10 PM ET | -185at Bovada | 31 of 56· last season55%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 15.5 pointsP.J. Washington · Today 7:10 PM ET | -245at Bovada | 36 of 56· last season64%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.