This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 73% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 73% to break even | 44%–95% | 7 points betterwon 80%, needs 73% | 21.8points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 73% to break even | 44%–87% | 3 points shortwon 70%, needs 73% | 21.5points |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 73% to break even | 52%–87% | evenwon 73%, needs 73% | 20.1points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 73% to break even | 12%–88% | 23 points shortwon 50%, needs 73% | 21.5points |
| Last season | 16 of 2080%needs 73% to break even | 62%–91% | 7 points betterwon 80%, needs 73% | 20.4points |
| Every game | 17 of 2277%needs 73% to break even | 60%–88% | 4 points betterwon 77%, needs 73% | 20.5points |
Tonight WSH plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 8 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 9 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 34 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 19 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 13 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 3 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 24 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 15 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 24 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 29 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 2 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 17 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 32 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 12 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 4 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 25 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 22 | +5.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -232at DraftKings | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 70% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 20.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -196at BetOnline | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 66% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -165at Bovada | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 62% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 22.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -122at BetOnline | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 55% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 23.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +100at Fanatics | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 50% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +125at Fanatics | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 44% to break even2 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 25.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +140at Fanatics | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 42% to break even2 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 26.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +170at Fanatics | 5 of 20· last season25%needs 37% to break even2 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 27.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +210at Fanatics | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 32% to break even2 of 8 on the road | -17.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 28.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +260at Fanatics | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 28% to break even2 of 8 on the road | -14.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gets a triple-doubleAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +10000at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even0 of 8 on the road | -0.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +104at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -9.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 assistsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +229at Kalshi | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 30% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +240at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 29% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -11.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 9.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +205at Bovada | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 33% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -12.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 13.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -141at BetOnline | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 59% to break even6 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 11.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 47% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -13.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 36.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -118at BetOnline | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 54% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -112at FanDuel | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 53% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -184at FanDuel | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 65% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 blocksAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +119at Kalshi | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 46% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 assistsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +105at BetOnline | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -15.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.