This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 38% to break even | 0%–35% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% | 3.2rebounds and assists |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 38% to break even | 7%–46% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% | 4.9rebounds and assists |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 38% to break even | 5%–33% | 24 points shortwon 13%, needs 38% | 4.7rebounds and assists |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 38% to break even | 0%–73% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% | 7rebounds and assists |
| Last season | 2 of 514%needs 38% to break even | 1%–11% | 34 points shortwon 4%, needs 38% | 2.9rebounds and assists |
| Every game | 2 of 524%needs 38% to break even | 1%–11% | 34 points shortwon 4%, needs 38% | 3rebounds and assists |
Tonight PHX plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 29 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against over 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 27 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 3 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 11 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 3 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 3 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 4 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 4 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 3 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -11.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.