This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 53% to break even | 5%–56% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 53% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 53% to break even | 0%–73% | 53 points shortwon 0%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 54 of 9159%needs 53% to break even | 51%–67% | 7 points betterwon 59%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 54 of 9259%needs 53% to break even | 50%–67% | 6 points betterwon 59%, needs 53% |
Tonight ORL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against orl +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | -22 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | -14 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 6 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 8 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | -15 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 11 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | 31 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | -12 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 24 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 12 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 16 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 11 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | -29 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -52 | -48.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | -5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | -2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | -19 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | -5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -12 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 5 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 6 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 39 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 27 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 17 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -14 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | -5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | -3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 37 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 19 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 20 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | -36 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | -9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 10 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 9 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | -16 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | -14 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | -27 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -17 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 10 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | -12 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | -8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 8 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | -1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | -15 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | -23 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | -11 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | -12 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 9 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | -6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | -2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 5 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 41 | +44.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | -9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 12 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 28 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 8 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | -4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 17 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 13 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | -15 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 31 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 16 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | -19 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | -12 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -12 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | -4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 226.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Fri, Oct 30, 7:40 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 52% to break even | 0.2Slight | ||
| ORL to win moneylineOrlando Magic · Fri, Oct 30, 7:40 PM ET | +130at DraftKings | 49 of 91· last season54%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 226.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Fri, Oct 30, 7:40 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 43 of 91· last season47%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.