This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 40% to break even | 13%–56% | 10 points shortwon 30%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 40% to break even | 13%–48% | 13 points shortwon 27%, needs 40% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 40% to break even | 0%–73% | 40 points shortwon 0%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 12 of 4626%needs 40% to break even | 17%–38% | 14 points shortwon 26%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 12 of 4726%needs 40% to break even | 17%–37% | 14 points shortwon 26%, needs 40% |
Tonight LAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against LAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 reboundsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 34 of 46· last season74%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 threesDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -11.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 threesDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 22 of 46· last season48%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.