This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 60% to break even | 27%–86% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 60% to break even | 54%–93% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 60% to break even | 52%–87% | 13 points betterwon 73%, needs 60% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 60% to break even | 27%–100% | 40 points betterwon 100%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 23 of 5542%needs 60% to break even | 32%–53% | 19 points shortwon 42%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 24 of 5643%needs 60% to break even | 33%–54% | 18 points shortwon 43%, needs 60% |
Tonight LAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against LAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against over 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 27 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 1 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 1 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 19 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 22 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.