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NBAPlayer propAssists
Austin Reaves under 5.5 assists
Won30 of 57last season · 53%
Best price-154Kalshi
Price needs60.6%wins to break even
Every game30 of 58this season and last
Trend score-35.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 61% to break even | 0%–35% | 61 points shortwon 0%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 61% to break even | 13%–56% | 31 points shortwon 30%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 61% to break even | 28%–67% | 14 points shortwon 47%, needs 61% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 61% to break even | 0%–73% | 61 points shortwon 0%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 30 of 5753%needs 61% to break even | 42%–63% | 8 points shortwon 53%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 30 of 5852%needs 61% to break even | 41%–62% | 9 points shortwon 52%, needs 61% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Austin Reaves under 5.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  GS | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 11 |  OKC | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | OKC | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 7 | OKC | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 5 | OKC | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 1 |  HOU | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | HOU | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 | OKC | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  CLE | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  WSH | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  BKN | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  IND | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  DET | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  ORL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  MIA | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | HOU | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | HOU | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  DEN | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 |  CHI | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  MIN | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  NY | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 | IND | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | DEN | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  NO | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  SAC | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | GS | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  PHX | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | ORL | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 |  BOS | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 |  LAC | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 12 |  DAL | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | OKC | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | GS | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 |  PHI | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | BKN | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | HOU | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | PHX | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 10 |  SA | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | PHI | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | BOS | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 |  TOR | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | PHX | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | NO | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | DAL | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | LAC | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 |  UTAH | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | UTAH | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  MIL | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | NO | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | OKC | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 |  CHA | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | MIA | 11 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 |  MEM | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | MIN | 16 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 |  POR | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | SAC | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | MIN | 11 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | GS | 9 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 assistsAustin Reaves · Today 10:10 PM ET |  +119at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 46% to break even | -2.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Austin Reaves in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 34.5 pts + reb + astAustin Reaves · Today 10:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even | -15.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 threesAustin Reaves · Today 10:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 threesAustin Reaves · Today 10:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 39 of 57· last season68%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 pts + reb + astAustin Reaves · Today 10:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 24 of 57· last season42%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.