This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 49% to break even | 5%–56% | 29 points shortwon 20%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 49% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points shortwon 47%, needs 49% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 49% to break even | 0%–73% | 49 points shortwon 0%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 34 of 8241%needs 49% to break even | 33%–51% | 7 points shortwon 41%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 34 of 8341%needs 49% to break even | 33%–50% | 8 points shortwon 41%, needs 49% |
Tonight SAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
SAC points in each game against over 113.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | SAC points | Beat 113.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 96 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 110 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 124 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 105 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 109 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 117 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 123 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 99 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 113 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 117 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 90 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 126 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 118 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 104 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 116 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 118 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 109 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 114 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 126 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 123 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 103 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 104 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 130 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 97 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 123 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 122 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 94 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 93 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 94 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 126 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 111 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 125 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 112 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 93 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 111 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 87 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 116 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 118 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 109 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 117 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 110 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 128 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 112 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 124 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 111 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 103 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 98 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 98 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 102 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 106 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 90 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 101 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 113 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 127 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 125 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 93 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 133 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 103 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 105 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 105 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 127 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 95 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 107 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 119 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 100 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 117 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 128 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 96 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 99 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 110 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 110 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 100 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 108 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 117 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 101 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 121 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 124 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 135 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 113 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 101 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 120 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 105 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 116 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 107.5 team totalSacramento Kings · Today 10:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 109.5 team totalSacramento Kings · Today 10:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 111.5 team totalSacramento Kings · Today 10:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 113.5 team totalSacramento Kings · Today 10:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 48 of 82· last season59%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 115.5 team totalSacramento Kings · Today 10:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 49 of 82· last season60%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.