This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 41% to break even | 5%–56% | 21 points shortwon 20%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 41% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 41% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 41% to break even | 0%–73% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 30 of 8237%needs 41% to break even | 28%–46% | 4 points shortwon 37%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 30 of 8336%needs 41% to break even | 28%–45% | 5 points shortwon 36%, needs 41% |
Tonight SAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against sac +4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC to win moneylineSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -25 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | -12 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 6 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | -5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -29 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 4 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 8 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -17 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | -10 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | -44 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | -21 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | -28 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 5 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 9 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | -8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 5 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 16 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -10 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -24 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 9 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | -31 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 9 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | -17 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | -37 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | -28 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | -26 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | -6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | -3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | -4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | -19 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | -2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | -16 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -23 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | -5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | -13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | -13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 13 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 11 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 12 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 13 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | -34 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | -2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | -17 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -27 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | -14 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | -41 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | -24 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 6 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | -5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -1 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | -14 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | -31 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | -11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 16 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | -26 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -12 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 5 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 5 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -41 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -14 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | -14 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | -33 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | -14 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | -27 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -31 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 5 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | -6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | -13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | -6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | -4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 22 of 82· last season27%needs 27% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.3Not beating its price |
| Under 111.5 team totalSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 107.5 team totalSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Under 238.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 109.5 team totalSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Over 229.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Over 235.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Under 113.5 team totalSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 48 of 82· last season59%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 115.5 team totalSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 33 of 82· last season40%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Over 234.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Over 230.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 44 of 82· last season54%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 228.5 game total, SAC gamesSacramento Kings · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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