This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 46% to break even | 13%–56% | 16 points shortwon 30%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 46% to break even | 22%–61% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 46% to break even | 27%–100% | 54 points betterwon 100%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 23 of 8826%needs 46% to break even | 19%–34% | 20 points shortwon 26%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 24 of 8927%needs 46% to break even | 20%–35% | 19 points shortwon 27%, needs 46% |
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against por -9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 41 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 28 | -19 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -21 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | -12 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -13 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 19 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | -11 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | -5 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 35 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | -7 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 31 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 35 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -16 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 19 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -6 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | -2 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 20 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -7 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -34 | -43.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -16 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | -3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | -54 | -63.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 16 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -24 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 17 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 20 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | -5 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | -19 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -30 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | -8 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | -12 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 17 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 16 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 16 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | -22 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | -9 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 20 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | -29 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | -16 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | -8 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | -23 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -23 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | -6 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -8 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -13 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | -27 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | -17 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -5 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | -24 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | -3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -5 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 2 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -8 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 2 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -7 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 20 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | -4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.