This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 40% to break even | 13%–56% | 10 points shortwon 30%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 40% to break even | 17%–54% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 40% to break even | 27%–100% | 60 points betterwon 100%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 21 of 8824%needs 40% to break even | 17%–32% | 16 points shortwon 24%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 22 of 8925%needs 40% to break even | 18%–33% | 15 points shortwon 25%, needs 40% |
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against por -11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 228.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 41 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 28 | -19 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -21 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | -12 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 3 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -13 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 4 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 12 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 19 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | -11 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | -5 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 12 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 35 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | -7 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 31 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 35 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -16 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 19 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -6 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -2 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 20 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -7 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -34 | -45.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -16 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | -3 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | -54 | -65.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -24 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 17 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 20 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | -5 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | -19 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -30 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -4 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | -8 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | -12 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 17 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | -22 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | -9 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 20 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | -29 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 3 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | -16 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -4 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | -8 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | -23 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -23 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | -6 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 12 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | -3 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -8 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -13 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 12 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | -27 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 4 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -1 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | -17 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -5 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | -24 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | -3 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -5 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -8 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -7 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 20 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | -4 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 43% to break even |
| 15.8Very strong |
| Under 232.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -105at FanDuel | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 51% to break even | 15.3Very strong |
| Under 224.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 35% to break even | 13.6Strong |
| Under 229.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 46% to break even | 12.7Strong |
| Under 230.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 47% to break even | 12.1Strong |
| Under 234.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 57% to break even | 10.6Strong |
| Under 226.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 39% to break even | 10.2Strong |
| Under 227.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 41% to break even | 8.3Strong |
| Under 116.5 team totalPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 40% to break even | 8.1Strong |
| Under 235.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 59% to break even | 7.3Good |
| Under 236.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 62% to break even | 5.6Good |
| Under 238.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 67% to break even | 3.9Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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