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POR -10.5 (spread)
Won5 of 15last 15 games · 33%
Best price+134Kalshi
Price needs42.7%wins to break even
Every game22 of 89this season and last
Trend score-27.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 43% to break even | 13%–56% | 13 points shortwon 30%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 43% to break even | 17%–54% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 43% to break even | 27%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 21 of 8824%needs 43% to break even | 17%–32% | 19 points shortwon 24%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 22 of 8925%needs 43% to break even | 18%–33% | 18 points shortwon 25%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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POR -10.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against por -10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  PHX | 41 | +30.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 28 |  SA | -19 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | SA | -21 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Apr 24 | SA | -12 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | SA | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | SA | -13 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Apr 14 | PHX | 4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  SAC | 12 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  LAC | 19 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 | SA | -11 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 |  DEN | -5 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 |  NO | 12 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 | LAC | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  WSH | 35 | +24.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 |  DAL | -7 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  MIL | 31 | +20.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  BKN | 35 | +24.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 | DEN | -16 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  MIN | 4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  IND | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | BKN | 19 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  PHI | -6 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 |  UTAH | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  CHA | -2 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | IND | 20 | +9.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 |  HOU | -7 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 |  MEM | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  ATL | -34 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | CHA | -16 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  CHI | 9 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | MIN | -3 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | PHX | 15 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | DEN | -54 | -64.5 | Lost |
| Feb 12 | UTAH | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | MIN | -24 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | PHI | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | MEM | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | MEM | 20 | +9.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | PHX | -5 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  CLE | -19 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  NY | -30 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 | WSH | -4 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 |  BOS | -8 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  TOR | -12 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 |  MIA | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | SAC | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  LAL | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | ATL | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  GS | -22 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | NY | -9 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 | HOU | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | HOU | 1 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | UTAH | 20 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | SA | 5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | NO | 13 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 |  OKC | -29 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | DAL | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | BOS | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | LAC | -16 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  ORL | -4 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 |  DET | -8 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | SAC | 5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | SAC | 1 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | GS | 5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 11 | NO | -23 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | MEM | -23 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | DET | -6 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | CLE | 12 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | TOR | -3 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | OKC | -8 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | SA | -13 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | MIL | 12 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | OKC | -27 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | GS | 4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | CHI | -1 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | PHX | -17 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | DAL | -5 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | HOU | -24 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | NO | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | ORL | -3 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | MIA | -5 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | OKC | 2 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | LAL | -8 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | DEN | 2 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | UTAH | 2 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | LAL | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | LAC | -7 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | GS | 20 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | MIN | -4 | -14.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Portland Trail Blazers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.