This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 37% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 37% to break even | 7%–46% | 17 points shortwon 20%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 37% to break even | 13%–48% | 10 points shortwon 27%, needs 37% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 37% to break even | 0%–73% | 37 points shortwon 0%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 37 of 8842%needs 37% to break even | 34%–51% | 5 points betterwon 42%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 37 of 8942%needs 37% to break even | 33%–50% | 5 points betterwon 42%, needs 37% |
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against over 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 28 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 assistsToumani Camara · Today 10:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 52% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 assistsToumani Camara · Today 10:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 60 of 88· last season68%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.