This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 48% to break even | 5%–56% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 48% to break even | 13%–56% | 18 points shortwon 30%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 48% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points shortwon 47%, needs 48% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 48% to break even | 0%–73% | 48 points shortwon 0%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 34 of 8341%needs 48% to break even | 33%–50% | 7 points shortwon 41%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 34 of 8440%needs 48% to break even | 32%–49% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% |
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 28 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 14 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 assistsDonovan Clingan · Today 10:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 49 of 83· last season59%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 11.5 reboundsDonovan Clingan · Today 10:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 59% to break even | 0.5Slight | ||
| Over 14.5 pointsDonovan Clingan · Today 10:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 24 of 83· last season29%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 11.5 reboundsDonovan Clingan · Today 10:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 36 of 83· last season43%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.