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NBAPlayer propAssists
Domantas Sabonis over 5.5 assists
Won3 of 5last 5 games · 60%
Best price-121Kalshi
Price needs54.8%wins to break even
Every game6 of 20this season and last
Trend score-29.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 55% to break even | 19%–65% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 55% to break even | 13%–48% | 28 points shortwon 27%, needs 55% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 55% to break even | 27%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 5 of 1926%needs 55% to break even | 13%–45% | 28 points shortwon 26%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 6 of 2030%needs 55% to break even | 16%–48% | 25 points shortwon 30%, needs 55% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Domantas Sabonis over 5.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against over 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  LAC | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 4 |  MEM | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 |  PHI | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 |  NY | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  DET | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  CLE | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 |  MIA | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  POR | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 |  WSH | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 |  SA | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 |  MIN | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 |  ATL | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 |  DEN | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | MIN | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | DEN | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  MIL | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 |  CHI | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 |  OKC | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  LAL | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 |  UTAH | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 assistsDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET |  -103at Kalshi | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.