This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 62% to break even | 44%–95% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 62% to break even | 44%–87% | 8 points betterwon 70%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 62% to break even | 46%–83% | 5 points betterwon 67%, needs 62% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 62% to break even | 27%–100% | 38 points betterwon 100%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 39 of 8248%needs 62% to break even | 39%–57% | 14 points shortwon 48%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 40 of 8348%needs 62% to break even | 39%–57% | 13 points shortwon 48%, needs 62% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q total points in each game against under 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 59.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 48 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 64 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 57 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 56 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 56 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 58 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 68 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 64 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 51 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 39 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 53 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 59 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 64 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 49 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 64 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 57 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 56 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 62 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 69 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 67 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 60 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 51 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 56 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 58 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 55 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 75 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 49 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 50 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 64 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 70 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 66 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 55 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 60 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 37 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 68 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 48 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 54 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 69 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 50 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 52 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 65 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 59 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 60 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 54 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 67 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 59 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 66 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 61 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 62 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 45 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 52 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 67 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 55 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 54 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 55 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 61 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 59 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 58 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 65 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 62 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 54 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 68 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 81 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 51 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 56 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 69 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 73 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 59 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 65 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 52 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 67 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 48 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 72 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 61 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 55.5 1st quarter totalWashington Wizards · Today 7:10 PM ETWSH without Dybantsa | -175at Kalshi | 58 of 82· last season71%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 57.5 1st quarter totalWashington Wizards · Today 7:10 PM ETWSH without Dybantsa | -121at Kalshi | 51 of 82· last season62%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 59.5 1st quarter totalWashington Wizards · Today 7:10 PM ETWSH without Dybantsa | +124at Kalshi | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 61.5 1st quarter totalWashington Wizards · Today 7:10 PM ETWSH without Dybantsa | +166at Kalshi | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.