This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 65% to break even | 14%–73% | 25 points shortwon 40%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 65% to break even | 19%–65% | 25 points shortwon 40%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 65% to break even | 28%–67% | 18 points shortwon 47%, needs 65% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 65% to break even | 27%–100% | 35 points betterwon 100%, needs 65% |
| Last season | 37 of 8942%needs 65% to break even | 33%–50% | 23 points shortwon 42%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 38 of 9042%needs 65% to break even | 34%–51% | 22 points shortwon 42%, needs 65% |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TOR points in each game against over 117.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TOR points | Beat 117.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 135 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | 102 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 112 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 120 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 93 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 126 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 105 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 113 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 136 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 95 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 128 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 121 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 101 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 128 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 115 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 116 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 139 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 119 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 94 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 143 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 98 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 115 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 139 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 119 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 122 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 111 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 99 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 122 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 107 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 95 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 134 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 107 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 107 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 122 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 110 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 95 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 122 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 123 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 126 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 107 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 120 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 92 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 103 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 110 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 122 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 145 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 93 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 117 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 115 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 102 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 116 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 117 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 97 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 118 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 134 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 103 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 107 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 141 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 117 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 112 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 81 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 96 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 111 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 106 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 101 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 113 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 86 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 120 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 121 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 94 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 111 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 97 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 110 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 119 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 140 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 121 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 110 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 129 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 126 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 119 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 120 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 109 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 128 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 117 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 112 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 121 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 103 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 129 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 116 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 138 | +20.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 115.5 team totalToronto Raptors · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETWSH without Dybantsa | +198at Kalshi | 45 of 89· last season51%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight | |
| Under 117.5 team totalToronto Raptors · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETWSH without Dybantsa | +140at Kalshi | 52 of 89· last season58%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 119.5 team totalToronto Raptors · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETWSH without Dybantsa | +105at Kalshi | 57 of 89· last season64%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 121.5 team totalToronto Raptors · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETWSH without Dybantsa | -126at Kalshi | 65 of 89· last season73%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 123.5 team totalToronto Raptors · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ETWSH without Dybantsa | -168at Kalshi | 71 of 89· last season80%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.