This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 30% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 30% to break even | 5%–56% | 10 points shortwon 20%, needs 30% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 30% to break even | 2%–35% | 20 points shortwon 10%, needs 30% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 30% to break even | 5%–33% | 17 points shortwon 13%, needs 30% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 30% to break even | 27%–100% | 70 points betterwon 100%, needs 30% |
| Last season | 16 of 8220%needs 30% to break even | 13%–28% | 11 points shortwon 20%, needs 30% |
| Every game | 17 of 8320%needs 30% to break even | 14%–29% | 10 points shortwon 20%, needs 30% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against wsh -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 12 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -23 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | -11 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | -31 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -16 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | -22 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | -19 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -35 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | -5 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 23 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -32 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -21 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | -22 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -8 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -11 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | -5 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -21 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -20 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -17 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | -5 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -9 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | -30 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | -21 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | -17 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 13 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -25 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | -31 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | -14 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 9 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | -31 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | -31 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 10 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -14 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | -19 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | -21 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -21 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | -26 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 20 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -14 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 21 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -17 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | -11 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | -25 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 19 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | -15 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | -45 | -47.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | -19 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -33 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 19 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | -30 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -11 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -23 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | -23 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | -2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -33 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | -29 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -17 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -31 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | -19 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | -5 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -26 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 10 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.