This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 47% to break even | 5%–56% | 27 points shortwon 20%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 47% to break even | 13%–56% | 17 points shortwon 30%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 47% to break even | 22%–61% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 47% to break even | 27%–100% | 53 points betterwon 100%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 39 of 8944%needs 47% to break even | 35%–53% | 3 points shortwon 44%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 40 of 9044%needs 47% to break even | 36%–53% | 2 points shortwon 44%, needs 47% |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tor -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 43 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | -12 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | -5 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 22 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | -10 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -13 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 35 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | -17 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 14 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 26 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -14 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 32 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | -8 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | -11 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 52 | +45.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | -25 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 16 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -22 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | -6 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 30 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | -11 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -14 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 30 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -8 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -16 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | -3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | -9 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 28 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -18 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 18 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 16 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | -2 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | -10 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | -27 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 18 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | -17 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | -4 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 14 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | -13 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | -8 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 18 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 17 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | -3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 14 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | -21 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 21 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | -15 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -16 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | -16 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -8 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | -25 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | -3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -22 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 30 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 18 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -10 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 28 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | -18 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | -18 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -10 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | -6 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 20 | +13.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.