This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 36% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 36% to break even | 22%–61% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 36% to break even | 27%–100% | 64 points betterwon 100%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 32 of 8239%needs 36% to break even | 31%–48% | 3 points betterwon 39%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 33 of 8340%needs 36% to break even | 31%–49% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
3Q margin in each game against wsh 3q -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | -11 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | -11 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | -19 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | -16 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | -11 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 12 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | -16 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | -18 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 13 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 12 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -18 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.