This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 4% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 4% to break even | 0%–35% | 4 points shortwon 0%, needs 4% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 4% to break even | 2%–35% | 6 points betterwon 10%, needs 4% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 4% to break even | 2%–25% | 2 points betterwon 7%, needs 4% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 4% to break even | 0%–73% | 4 points shortwon 0%, needs 4% |
| Last season | 3 of 903%needs 4% to break even | 1%–8% | 1 points shortwon 3%, needs 4% |
| Every game | 3 of 913%needs 4% to break even | 1%–8% | 1 points shortwon 3%, needs 4% |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Triple-double in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Triple-double | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.