This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 54% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 54% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 54% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 54% to break even | 27%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 30 of 6447%needs 54% to break even | 37%–57% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 31 of 6548%needs 54% to break even | 38%–58% | 6 points shortwon 48%, needs 54% |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 threesRJ Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 34 of 64· last season53%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 reboundsRJ Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 36 of 64· last season56%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 assistsRJ Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 30 of 64· last season47%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 assistsRJ Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 34 of 64· last season53%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 pointsRJ Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 13 of 64· last season20%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 reboundsRJ Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 28 of 64· last season44%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.