This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 34% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 34% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 34% to break even | 17%–54% | 1 points shortwon 33%, needs 34% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 34% to break even | 0%–73% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 22 of 5639%needs 34% to break even | 29%–50% | 5 points betterwon 39%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 22 of 5739%needs 34% to break even | 29%–49% | 4 points betterwon 39%, needs 34% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 10 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 threesBilal Coulibaly · Today 7:10 PM ETDybantsa out: next up at SF | -218at Kalshi | 34 of 56· last season61%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 threesBilal Coulibaly · Today 7:10 PM ETDybantsa out: next up at SF | +181at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 36% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.