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NBAPlayer propPoints
Tre Johnson over 11.5 points
Won31 of 60last season · 52%
Best price+180Bovada
Price needs35.7%wins to break even
Every game31 of 61this season and last
Trend score-17.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 36% to break even | 0%–35% | 36 points shortwon 0%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 36% to break even | 7%–46% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 2 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 36% to break even | 0%–73% | 36 points shortwon 0%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 31 of 6052%needs 36% to break even | 41%–62% | 16 points betterwon 52%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 31 of 6151%needs 36% to break even | 40%–61% | 15 points betterwon 51%, needs 36% |
Games like tonight
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Tre Johnson over 11.5 points4 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against over 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MIL | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 4 |  MIA | 11 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  PHI | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  LAL | 11 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  GS | 11 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  DET | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 | DET | 11 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | GS | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  BOS | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 |  ORL | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 | MIA | 17 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  NO | 20 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  UTAH | 15 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 | ORL | 9 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 2 |  HOU | 5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 |  TOR | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  ATL | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | ATL | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  CHA | 11 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  IND | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | IND | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  CLE | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | MIL | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 |  POR | 18 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | CHA | 26 | +14.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  DEN | 19 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 |  LAC | 15 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | DEN | 4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 |  SAC | 18 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 14 | LAC | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 |  PHX | 19 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | NO | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | PHI | 20 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | ORL | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 |  MIN | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 |  BKN | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | MIL | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | PHX | 24 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  MEM | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | TOR | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | CHA | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  SA | 19 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | MEM | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | SA | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | IND | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | CLE | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | TOR | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 19 | MIN | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | BKN | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | HOU | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | DET | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  DAL | 9 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | CLE | 19 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | BOS | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 |  NY | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | ORL | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 |  OKC | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | PHI | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | CHA | 16 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | DAL | 17 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | MIL | 16 | +4.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 pointsTre Johnson · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa |  +215at Bovada | 6 of 60· last season10%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 7.5 pointsTre Johnson · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +150at Bovada | 9 of 60· last season15%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 8.5 pointsTre Johnson · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +105at Bovada | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 49% to break even | -29.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 9.5 pointsTre Johnson · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa |  -127at Caesars | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 56% to break even | -34.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 10.5 pointsTre Johnson · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -180at Bovada | 24 of 60· last season40%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 11.5 pointsTre Johnson · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -245at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 71% to break even | -19.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tre Johnson in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.