This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 45% to break even | 7%–46% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 45% to break even | 13%–48% | 18 points shortwon 27%, needs 45% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 45% to break even | 27%–100% | 55 points betterwon 100%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 29 of 7041%needs 45% to break even | 32%–51% | 4 points shortwon 41%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 30 of 7142%needs 45% to break even | 33%–52% | 3 points shortwon 42%, needs 45% |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 3 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 6 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 27 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 32 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 40 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 27 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 3 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 31 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.