This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 72% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 72% to break even | 44%–95% | 8 points betterwon 80%, needs 72% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 72% to break even | 44%–87% | 2 points shortwon 70%, needs 72% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 72% to break even | 46%–83% | 5 points shortwon 67%, needs 72% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 72% to break even | 27%–100% | 28 points betterwon 100%, needs 72% |
| Last season | 13 of 2065%needs 72% to break even | 47%–80% | 7 points shortwon 65%, needs 72% |
| Every game |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 34 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 pointsAnthony Davis |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes triple-doubleAnthony Davis |
| 49%–81% |
| 5 points shortwon 67%, needs 72% |
| Jan 8 | 21 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | 19 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | 26 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | 3 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | 31 | +13.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 | 35 | +17.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | 24 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | 24 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | 29 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | 2 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | 32 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | 4 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | 26 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 25 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 27 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | 22 | +4.5 | Won |
| +200at Bovada |
| 7 of 20· last season35%needs 33% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 18.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +155at Bovada | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +100at Bovada | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -105at BetMGM | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -190at Bovada | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.8Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -179at Polymarket | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Under 25.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -300at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 75% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +10000at FanDuel |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even |
| -0.8Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 threesAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +120at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +108at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Over 35.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -120at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 55% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +114at DraftKings | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 33.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +100at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -138at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 58% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -145at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 59% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -145at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 59% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +255at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 28% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +119at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +100at Bovada | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -9.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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