This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 43% to break even | 7%–46% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 43% to break even | 17%–54% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 43% to break even | 27%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 20 of 4842%needs 43% to break even | 31%–54% | 2 points shortwon 42%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 21 of 4943%needs 43% to break even | 32%–55% | evenwon 43%, needs 43% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 21 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 2 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 14 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 7 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 16 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 11 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 11 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 8 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 21 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 28 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 24 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 27 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 24 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 36 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 27 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 26 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 8 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 21 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 35 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 22 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 16 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 16 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 14 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 24 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 30 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 34 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 25 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 12 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 27 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 11 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 38 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 25 | +5.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 16.5 pts + astKyshawn George · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +110at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 17.5 pts + astKyshawn George · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -104at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 18.5 pts + astKyshawn George · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -145at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even | -10.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.