This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 53% to break even | 22%–61% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 53% to break even | 27%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 32 of 6648%needs 53% to break even | 39%–58% | 4 points shortwon 48%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 33 of 6749%needs 53% to break even | 39%–59% | 4 points shortwon 49%, needs 53% |
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 11 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 reboundsJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 34 of 66· last season52%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 pointsJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even | -9.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 threesJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 66% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 assistsJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 28 of 66· last season42%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 threesJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 25 of 66· last season38%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 pointsJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 21 of 66· last season32%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.