This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 53% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 53% to break even | 0%–73% | 53 points shortwon 0%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 39 of 7453%needs 53% to break even | 43%–62% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% |
| Every game |
Tonight MIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 29.5 pointsAnthony Edwards |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 threesAnthony Edwards |
| 43%–61% |
| 1 points shortwon 52%, needs 53% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 29.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 45 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 | 24 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 20 | +9.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 36 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 32 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 12 | +17.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 18 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 17 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 30 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 22 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 22 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 8 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 17 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 19 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 42 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 36 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 34 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 22 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 41 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 21 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 31 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 34 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 28 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 40 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 8 | +21.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 11 | +18.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 13 | +16.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 30 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 23 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 35 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 30 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 39 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 33 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 26 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 20 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 32 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 20 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 38 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 55 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 23 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 25 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 25 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 26 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 35 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 33 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 30 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 23 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 28 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 44 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 38 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 24 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 26 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 40 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 15 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 11 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 44 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 32 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 39 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 31 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 43 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 41 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 18 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 13 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 26 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 30 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 35 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 26 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 37 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 15 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 5 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 31 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 41 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| -107at Kalshi |
| 35 of 74· last season47%needs 52% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -26.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +101at Kalshi |
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 50% to break even |
| 10.5Strong |
| Under 3.5 assistsAnthony Edwards · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 61% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reboundsAnthony Edwards · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 29 of 74· last season39%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 reboundsAnthony Edwards · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 45 of 74· last season61%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 threesAnthony Edwards · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 20 of 74· last season27%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 assistsAnthony Edwards · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 33 of 74· last season45%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 threesAnthony Edwards · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 29 of 74· last season39%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -45.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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