This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 44% to break even | 5%–56% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 44% to break even | 13%–56% | 14 points shortwon 30%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 44% to break even | 13%–48% | 18 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 27 of 7934%needs 44% to break even | 26%–43% | 10 points shortwon 34%, needs 44% |
| Every game |
Tonight MIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against under 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 pts + astAyo Dosunmu |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 pts + reb + astAyo Dosunmu |
| 26%–43% |
| 11 points shortwon 34%, needs 44% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 0 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 44 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 34 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 25 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 30 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 25 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 29 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 21 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 5 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 24 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 25 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 38 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 28 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 24 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 21 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 28 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 27 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 24 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 25 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 29 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 27 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 26 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 25 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 31 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| -159at DraftKings |
| 52 of 79· last season66%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.4Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 pts + astAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | -125at Bovada | 49 of 79· last season62%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pts + astAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 45 of 79· last season57%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + astAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | +210at BetMGM | 34 of 79· last season43%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -167at BetOnline |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 63% to break even |
| 1.2Slight |
| Over 7.5 reb + astAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | +135at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 43% to break even | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reb + astAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | +400at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 20% to break even | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | +4200at DraftKings | 2 of 79· last season3%needs 2% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.0Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 reboundsAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | +260at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 28% to break even | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pts + reb + astAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | -220at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 69% to break even | -3.7Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reb + astAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | -114at BetOnline | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 pointsAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | -228at Kalshi | 63 of 79· last season80%needs 70% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 pointsAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 35 of 79· last season44%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 40 of 79· last season51%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 reboundsAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | +120at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reb + astAyo Dosunmu · Today 7:10 PM ET | -167at BetOnline | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 63% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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