This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 32% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 32% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points betterwon 40%, needs 32% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 32% to break even | 19%–65% | 8 points betterwon 40%, needs 32% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 32% to break even | 22%–61% | 8 points betterwon 40%, needs 32% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 32% to break even | 27%–100% | 68 points betterwon 100%, needs 32% |
| Last season | 24 of 8130%needs 32% to break even | 22%–39% | 3 points shortwon 30%, needs 32% |
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against over 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 assistsPaolo Banchero · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes triple-doublePaolo Banchero |
| Every game | 25 of 8230%needs 32% to break even | 23%–39% | 2 points shortwon 30%, needs 32% |
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| +145at Bovada |
| 35 of 81· last season43%needs 41% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -23.0Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 assistsPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 42 of 81· last season52%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.2Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 assistsPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | -275at Bovada | 57 of 81· last season70%needs 73% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +2100at DraftKings |
| 1 of 15· last 15 games7%needs 5% to break even |
| -3.5Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 reboundsPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | -300at Bovada | 63 of 81· last season78%needs 75% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 reboundsPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | -180at Bovada | 53 of 81· last season65%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 pts + reb + astPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | +189at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pointsPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 43 of 81· last season53%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + rebPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | +168at FanDuel | 31 of 81· last season38%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 reb + astPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | +112at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pointsPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 31 of 81· last season38%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 threesPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | +140at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pts + astPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | +128at BetRivers | 35 of 81· last season43%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 pts + reb + astPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 33 of 81· last season41%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 reb + astPaolo Banchero · Today 7:10 PM ET | +150at BetOnline | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 40% to break even | -14.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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