This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 51% to break even | 5%–56% | 31 points shortwon 20%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 51% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 51% to break even | 27%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 55 of 9260%needs 51% to break even | 51%–68% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 56 of 9360%needs 51% to break even | 52%–68% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
Tonight LAL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against lal -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 22 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 11 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -23 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | -18 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| May 5 | -18 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 20 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -19 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 24 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 28 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 16 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | -36 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | -43 | -44.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 19 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 12 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 13 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 24 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 28 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | -22 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 20 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | -28 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 16 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 31 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | -30 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -16 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | -18 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 25 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -16 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | -22 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 24 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | -23 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -24 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | -21 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 12 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 24 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | -29 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -20 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 236.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Fri, Oct 30, 10:10 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 52% to break even | 7.6Good | ||
| LAL to win moneylineLos Angeles Lakers · Fri, Oct 30, 10:10 PM ET | -115at DraftKings | 57 of 92· last season62%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 236.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Fri, Oct 30, 10:10 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 30 of 92· last season33%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -41.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.