This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 51% to break even | 5%–56% | 31 points shortwon 20%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 51% to break even | 7%–46% | 31 points shortwon 20%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 51% to break even | 17%–54% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 51% to break even | 0%–73% | 51 points shortwon 0%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 38 of 8445%needs 51% to break even | 37%–54% | 6 points shortwon 45%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 38 of 8545%needs 51% to break even | 36%–54% | 7 points shortwon 45%, needs 51% |
Tonight GS plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against gs to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -22 | -22 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | -15 | -15 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -23 | -23 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -28 | -28 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 21 | +21 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | -19 | -19 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 16 | +16 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 26 | +26 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | -18 | -18 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 23 | +23 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 20 | +20 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 34 | +34 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | -37 | -37 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 23 | +23 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 32 | +32 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | -12 | -12 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 18 | +18 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | -24 | -24 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 31 | +31 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 236.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Fri, Oct 30, 10:10 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 52 of 84· last season62%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.3Not beating its price | |
| GS +1.5 spreadGolden State Warriors · Fri, Oct 30, 10:10 PM ET | -115at DraftKings | 42 of 84· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 236.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Fri, Oct 30, 10:10 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 32 of 84· last season38%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.