This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 46% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 46% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 46% to break even | 33%–72% | 8 points betterwon 53%, needs 46% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 46% to break even | 27%–100% | 54 points betterwon 100%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 24 of 5444%needs 46% to break even | 34%–56% | 1 points shortwon 44%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 25 of 5545%needs 46% to break even | 35%–56% | evenwon 45%, needs 46% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 threesKeyonte George · Today 9:40 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 30 of 54· last season56%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.