This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 38% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 38% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 38% to break even | 22%–61% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 38% to break even | 0%–73% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 27 of 8233%needs 38% to break even | 25%–42% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 27 of 8333%needs 38% to break even | 25%–41% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 38% |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 assistsJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 44% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 9.5 pointsJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 23 of 82· last season28%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 assistsJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.