This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 58% to break even | 5%–56% | 38 points shortwon 20%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 58% to break even | 7%–46% | 38 points shortwon 20%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 58% to break even | 22%–61% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 58% to break even | 27%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 37 of 8245%needs 58% to break even | 36%–54% | 13 points shortwon 45%, needs 58% |
| Every game |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against under 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 reb + astJeremiah Fears |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 16.5 pointsJeremiah Fears |
| 37%–55% |
| 13 points shortwon 46%, needs 58% |
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 15 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 14 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 16 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 18 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| -160at Bovada |
| 53 of 82· last season65%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.8Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reb + astJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | -1.6Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reb + astJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +185at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 35% to break even | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 reb + astJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +176at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 36% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +270at Caesars |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 27% to break even |
| 6.6Good |
| Over 4.5 assistsJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +252at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 28% to break even | 5.7Good |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +305at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 25% to break even | 5.2Good |
| Over 19.5 pts + astJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +226at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 31% to break even | 3.9Good |
| Over 15.5 pointsJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +205at Caesars | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 33% to break even | 2.6Slight |
| Over 16.5 pts + astJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +170at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 37% to break even | -0.6Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pts + reb + astJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +135at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even | -0.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 assistsJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 44% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 pts + astJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pts + reb + astJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | -115at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + reb + astJeremiah Fears · Today 9:40 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 44 of 82· last season54%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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