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NBAPlayer propPoints
Zion Williamson over 19.5 points
Won41 of 62last season · 66%
Best price-126Kalshi
Price needs55.8%wins to break even
Every game42 of 63this season and last
Trend score-22.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 56% to break even | 5%–56% | 36 points shortwon 20%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 56% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 56% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points shortwon 53%, needs 56% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 56% to break even | 27%–100% | 44 points betterwon 100%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 41 of 6266%needs 56% to break even | 56%–75% | 10 points betterwon 66%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 42 of 6367%needs 56% to break even | 56%–76% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Zion Williamson over 19.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  IND | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 5 |  ORL | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  SAC | 13 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 |  POR | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  HOU | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  TOR | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 26 |  DET | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 24 |  NY | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  CLE | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  LAC | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 | LAC | 14 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 |  DAL | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 | HOU | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 | TOR | 19 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  WSH | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 |  PHX | 19 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | SAC | 23 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  LAL | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 |  UTAH | 4 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | UTAH | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 |  GS | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  PHI | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 |  MIL | 32 | +12.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 |  MIA | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | SAC | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 |  MIN | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 | MIL | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 |  CHA | 14 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | PHI | 11 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  MEM | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 |  OKC | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  SA | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 | MEM | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 | DET | 4 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 | HOU | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | IND | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 14 |  BKN | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  DEN | 12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | ORL | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | WSH | 31 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  ATL | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | LAL | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | MIA | 12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | POR | 35 | +15.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 |  CHI | 31 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | NY | 32 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | PHX | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | PHX | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | CLE | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 | DAL | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | IND | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | HOU | 9 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | CHI | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | GS | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | MEM | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | CHI | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | DAL | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 19 | DEN | 14 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | OKC | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | LAC | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | DEN | 11 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | SA | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | MEM | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 pointsZion Williamson · Today 9:40 PM ET |  -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -19.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Zion Williamson in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 reboundsZion Williamson · Today 9:40 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 32 of 62· last season52%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 reboundsZion Williamson · Today 9:40 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 61% to break even | -25.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.