This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 51% to break even | 65%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 51% to break even | 28%–67% | 5 points shortwon 47%, needs 51% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 51% to break even | 27%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 21 of 6632%needs 51% to break even | 23%–42% | 19 points shortwon 32%, needs 51% |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against under 21.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 pts + astTrey Murphy III |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 reboundsTrey Murphy III |
| Every game |
| 22 of 6733%needs 51% to break even |
| 24%–43% |
| 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 21.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 12 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 3 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 29 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 28 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 24 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 31 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 28 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 26 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 19 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 28 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 31 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 50 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 31 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 26 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 35 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 19 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 27 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 39 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 33 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 27 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 39 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 45 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 32 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 22 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 19 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 29 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 22 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 28 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 36 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 28 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 29 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 37 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 24 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 26 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 19 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 22 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 35 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 27 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 44 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 16 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 24 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 7 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 12 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 29 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 16 | +5.5 | Won | |
| -195at DraftKings |
| 51 of 66· last season77%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -23.8Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pts + astTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | -160at Bovada | 50 of 66· last season76%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pts + astTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | -125at Bovada | 45 of 66· last season68%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pts + astTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | -104at DraftKings | 42 of 66· last season64%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + astTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | +143at DraftKings | 36 of 66· last season55%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +140at Bovada |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 42% to break even |
| -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 reboundsTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | -287at DraftKings | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 74% to break even | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | +1500at DraftKings | 4 of 66· last season6%needs 6% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 reboundsTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 46 of 66· last season70%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reb + astTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | +175at DraftKings | 35 of 66· last season53%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 threesTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 assistsTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 40% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reb + astTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | -150at DraftKings | 45 of 66· last season68%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 pointsTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | +140at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even | -14.8Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 pts + reb + astTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | -125at Bovada | 48 of 66· last season73%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pointsTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -15.2Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 pts + reb + astTrey Murphy III · Today 9:40 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 39 of 66· last season59%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.