This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 1100%needs 41% to break even | 27%–100% | 59 points betterwon 100%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1100%needs 41% to break even | 27%–100% | 59 points betterwon 100%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 1100%needs 41% to break even | 27%–100% | 59 points betterwon 100%, needs 41% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 41% to break even | 27%–100% | 59 points betterwon 100%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 1 of 1100%needs 41% to break even | 27%–100% | 59 points betterwon 100%, needs 41% |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Steals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Steals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 threesFred VanVleet · Today 9:40 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | – | Too few games | ||
| Under 2.5 threesFred VanVleet · Today 9:40 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | – | Too few games |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.