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NBAPlayer propThrees
Landry Shamet over 1.5 threes
Won36 of 70last season · 51%
Best price-121Kalshi
Price needs54.8%wins to break even
Every game36 of 71this season and last
Trend score-26.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 55% to break even | 5%–56% | 35 points shortwon 20%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 55% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 55% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 55% to break even | 0%–73% | 55 points shortwon 0%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 36 of 7051%needs 55% to break even | 42%–61% | 3 points shortwon 51%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 36 of 7151%needs 55% to break even | 41%–60% | 4 points shortwon 51%, needs 55% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against BOS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Landry Shamet over 1.5 threes1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Threes in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 |  SA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 10 | SA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jun 8 | SA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jun 5 | SA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jun 3 | SA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 25 |  CLE | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 23 | CLE | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 21 | CLE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 19 | CLE | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 10 | PHI | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 8 | PHI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 6 | PHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 4 | PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 30 |  ATL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | ATL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | ATL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | ATL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | ATL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | ATL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  TOR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 |  BOS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | ATL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  CHI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  MEM | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  BKN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 |  IND | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 |  GS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 | IND | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  UTAH | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 9 |  LAC | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  LAL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 |  DEN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 |  OKC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | TOR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | SA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 27 |  MIL | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | CLE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | CHI | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  HOU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 |  DET | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 | IND | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | BOS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | DET | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 | DEN | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 |  WSH | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | LAL | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 |  POR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | TOR | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 |  SAC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | PHI | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 | BKN | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 |  DAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  PHX | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | GS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  ORL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | DAL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 |  MIA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | MIA | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | ORL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | MEM | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | BKN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 |  MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | WSH | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | CHI | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | CHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | MIL | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | MIA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | BOS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | CLE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 threesLandry Shamet · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |  -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -15.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.