This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 62% to break even | 65%–100% | 38 points betterwon 100%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 62% to break even | 65%–98% | 28 points betterwon 90%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 62% to break even | 75%–98% | 32 points betterwon 93%, needs 62% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 62% to break even | 27%–100% | 38 points betterwon 100%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 64 of 8575%needs 62% to break even | 67%–82% |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb in each game against over 8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 8.5 pts + rebSam Hauser |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 pts + reb + astSam Hauser |
| Every game | 65 of 8676%needs 62% to break even | 67%–82% | 14 points betterwon 76%, needs 62% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 2 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 19 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 30 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 19 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 26 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 18 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 18 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 19 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 18 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 16 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 19 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 19 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 16 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 19 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 18 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 23 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 23 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 21 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 36 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 20 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 16 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 24 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 20 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 27 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 19 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 0 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 20 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 24 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 21 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| +120at Bovada |
| 21 of 85· last season25%needs 45% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -37.9Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 pts + rebSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at FanDuel | 26 of 85· last season31%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.5Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 pts + rebSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | -160at Bovada | 38 of 85· last season45%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -158at DraftKings |
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 61% to break even |
| 7.6Good |
| Over 2.5 reboundsSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | -143at DraftKings | 66 of 85· last season78%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | 7.3Good |
| Over 4.5 pointsSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | -220at Bovada | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 69% to break even | 7.3Good |
| Over 8.5 pts + reb + astSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | -230at Bovada | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 70% to break even | 6.7Good |
| Over 4.5 reb + astSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | +134at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 43% to break even | 6.4Good |
| Over 3.5 reboundsSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 46 of 85· last season54%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | 5.9Good |
| Over 5.5 pointsSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 59% to break even | 2.3Slight |
| Over 3.5 reb + astSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | -149at DraftKings | 63 of 85· last season74%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.5Slight |
| Over 10.5 pts + reb + astSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 58 of 85· last season68%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.4Slight |
| Over 1.5 threesSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 57% to break even | -0.2Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 pointsSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | +260at Bovada | 32 of 85· last season38%needs 28% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 pts + astSam Hauser · Today 7:10 PM ET | -180at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 64% to break even | -6.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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