This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 46% to break even | 5%–56% | 26 points shortwon 20%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 46% to break even | 13%–56% | 16 points shortwon 30%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 46% to break even | 33%–72% | 8 points betterwon 53%, needs 46% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 46% to break even | 0%–73% | 46 points shortwon 0%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 28 of 5452%needs 46% to break even | 41%–63% | 6 points betterwon 52%, needs 46% |
| Every game |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 reboundsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 assistsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ET |
| 40%–62% |
| 5 points betterwon 51%, needs 46% |
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 3 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 15 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 15 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| -148at Kalshi |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 60% to break even |
| -20.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +109at Kalshi |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 48% to break even |
| -5.1Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +114at Kalshi | 37 of 54· last season69%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 threesJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | +105at Kalshi | 31 of 54· last season57%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pointsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | -148at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 60% to break even | -25.9Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 assistsJosh Giddey · Today 4:10 PM ETDay-to-day | -131at Kalshi | 27 of 54· last season50%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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